YEARLY HIGH
371.9194 UGX
YEARLY LOW
328.7838 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
344.8553 UGX

2023 TJS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the TJS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 28, valuing the pair at 371.9194. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 3, dropping to 328.7838.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 43.1356 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 360.8177 to the December average rate of 345.7005, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 371.9194 was down 5.72% compared to the 2022 peak of 394.4833, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,859,597 UGX
2022 Average 1,699,203 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,643,919 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 215,677.85 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

363.3929
332.4908
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 348.9853, compared to 340.7252 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.2600 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 348.9853
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 340.7252

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was March, with a trading range of 30.9028 UGX (High: 371.4748 / Low: 340.5720). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.8950 UGX (High: 343.1274 / Low: 338.2323).

March Spread (Volatile) ±30.9028
September Spread (Stable) ±4.8950

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 11.3244 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -11.3244

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2023: 354.9737) against the same month in 2022 (average: 311.4266), the exchange rate shifted by +43.5471 (+13.98%).

2023 Avg (February) 354.9737
2022 Avg (February) 311.4266

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 367.8207 357.7500 360.8177
February 371.9194 342.3750 354.9737
March 371.4748 340.5720 354.4775
April 346.4554 341.3890 343.1532
May 346.2524 340.3718 341.2953
June 343.3547 335.4177 339.1943
July 338.5452 330.0000 335.0659
August 340.6591 328.7838 335.3799
September 343.1274 338.2323 340.4721
October 345.4889 340.4881 342.1535
November 349.7505 342.6954 345.5795
December 348.9073 343.9583 345.7005