2016 TJS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

483.6546 UGX

YEARLY LOW

420.3493 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

436.6973 UGX

2016 TJS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TJS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 483.6546. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 420.3493.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 63.3053 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 467.0072 to the December average rate of 457.2491, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 483.6546 was down 16.89% compared to the 2015 peak of 581.9687, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,418,273 UGX

2015 Average 2,633,457 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,101,746 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 316,526.71 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

471.2401

420.4460

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 434.6226, compared to 438.7721 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.1495 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 434.6226

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 438.7721

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 39.8810 UGX (High: 483.6546 / Low: 443.7736). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.8940 UGX (High: 429.7011 / Low: 427.8071).

January Spread (Volatile) ±39.8810

August Spread (Stable) ±1.8940

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 30.7179 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -30.7179

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 467.0072) against the same month in 2015 (average: 540.0587), the exchange rate shifted by -73.0514 (-13.53%).

2016 Avg (January) 467.0072

2015 Avg (January) 540.0587

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	483.6546	443.7736	467.0072
February	443.4879	426.2784	436.2893
March	429.0836	424.3983	427.1269
April	428.3051	420.3493	424.6788
May	430.2975	421.4477	424.9645
June	433.7208	425.1239	427.6688
July	431.9787	427.7583	429.5029
August	429.7011	427.8071	428.6074
September	430.8502	427.5413	429.4490
October	439.5377	430.0556	435.7834
November	460.7104	439.7953	452.0407
December	461.0459	452.4752	457.2491