2015 TJS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

581.9687 UGX

YEARLY LOW

475.0806 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

526.6927 UGX

2015 TJS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the TJS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 5, valuing the pair at 581.9687. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 15, dropping to 475.0806.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 106.8881 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 540.0587 to the December average rate of 491.0074, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.08% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 581.9687 was up 6.42% compared to the 2014 peak of 546.8419, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,909,844 UGX

2014 Average 2,634,186 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,375,403 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 534,440.63 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

584.8565

469.3306

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 513.7733, compared to 539.6121 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 25.8388 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 513.7733

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 539.6121

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 42.8250 UGX (High: 564.1076 / Low: 521.2826). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.1190 UGX (High: 534.5680 / Low: 528.4490).

July Spread (Volatile) ±42.8250

February Spread (Stable) ±6.1190

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 42.3792 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -42.3792

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 575.2293) against the same month in 2014 (average: 525.2775), the exchange rate shifted by +49.9518 (+9.51%).

2015 Avg (September) 575.2293

2014 Avg (September) 525.2775

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	550.8926	531.7279	540.0587
February	534.5680	528.4490	531.0289
March	553.0017	515.1303	528.3741
April	514.7051	479.1869	495.3832
May	487.6233	475.0806	478.9578
June	527.0172	488.6868	508.8373
July	564.1076	521.2826	535.0325
August	579.0241	547.5531	564.4695
September	581.9687	569.4302	575.2293
October	573.0558	534.8002	557.1564
November	536.7509	499.0636	514.7771
December	506.1493	482.9787	491.0074