YEARLY HIGH
360.6870 UGX
YEARLY LOW
333.1878 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
348.3537 UGX

2024 TJS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the TJS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 360.6870. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 333.1878.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 27.4992 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 348.2272 to the December average rate of 335.7401, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 360.6870 was down 3.02% compared to the 2023 peak of 371.9194, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,803,435 UGX
2023 Average 1,724,011 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,665,939 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 137,495.94 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

357.8685
333.7284
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 351.2546, compared to 345.4528 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.8018 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 351.2546
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 345.4528

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was May, with a trading range of 12.1406 UGX (High: 356.1530 / Low: 344.0124). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7728 UGX (High: 345.5325 / Low: 343.7596).

May Spread (Volatile) ±12.1406
October Spread (Stable) ±1.7728

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 9.0973 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -9.0973

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 353.7831) against the same month in 2023 (average: 354.9737), the exchange rate shifted by -1.1906 (-0.34%).

2024 Avg (February) 353.7831
2023 Avg (February) 354.9737

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 350.0532 345.3709 348.2272
February 360.6870 349.1957 353.7831
March 359.2478 353.5821 355.8568
April 355.3871 346.4209 349.3753
May 356.1530 344.0124 349.2206
June 356.2463 344.2012 351.0647
July 351.8685 344.9205 348.2687
August 354.2179 348.1784 350.7798
September 350.1117 346.4568 348.5568
October 345.5325 343.7596 344.5342
November 347.5802 338.5628 344.8374
December 338.5628 333.1878 335.7401