YEARLY HIGH
398.1797 UGX
YEARLY LOW
321.7811 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
361.2421 UGX

2020 TJS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the TJS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 23, valuing the pair at 398.1797. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 321.7811.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 76.3985 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 379.4835 to the December average rate of 323.6169, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 398.1797 was down 0.62% compared to the 2019 peak of 400.6706, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TJS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,990,898 UGX
2019 Average 1,944,791 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,608,906 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 381,992.68 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

389.2781
317.6477
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TJS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 374.0754, compared to 348.4088 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 25.6667 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 374.0754
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 348.4088

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was November, with a trading range of 36.2292 UGX (High: 362.4302 / Low: 326.2010). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.2386 UGX (High: 371.1039 / Low: 368.8653).

November Spread (Volatile) ±36.2292
May Spread (Stable) ±2.2386

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 27.1859 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -27.1859

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 383.3089) against the same month in 2019 (average: 392.8008), the exchange rate shifted by -9.4919 (-2.42%).

2020 Avg (March) 383.3089
2019 Avg (March) 392.8008

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 382.6105 378.2938 379.4835
February 383.1918 377.8942 379.3004
March 398.1797 371.7437 383.3089
April 372.2364 366.5160 369.6016
May 371.1039 368.8653 369.7651
June 368.9680 361.3884 362.9931
July 361.4835 357.4311 359.3325
August 357.5475 354.9441 356.3964
September 360.2917 356.8338 358.1691
October 362.6474 357.7513 360.0617
November 362.4302 326.2010 332.8759
December 326.7090 321.7811 323.6169