2013 UGX to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6214 BIF

YEARLY LOW

0.5536 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5994 BIF

2013 UGX to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the UGX to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 16, valuing the pair at 0.6214. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 7, dropping to 0.5536.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0678 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5654 to the December average rate of 0.6156, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.6214 was up 5.62% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.5884, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,107 BIF

2012 Average 2,800 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 2,768 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 339.22 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.6206

0.5604

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5937, compared to 0.6051 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0114 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5937

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6051

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.0389 BIF (High: 0.6065 / Low: 0.5675). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0057 BIF (High: 0.6162 / Low: 0.6104).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0389

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0057

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0081 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0081

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2013: 0.6098) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.5257), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0841 (+15.99%).

2013 Avg (April) 0.6098

2012 Avg (April) 0.5257

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5873	0.5536	0.5654
February	0.5967	0.5828	0.5893
March	0.6065	0.5675	0.5910
April	0.6214	0.6024	0.6098
May	0.6160	0.5979	0.6073
June	0.6039	0.5945	0.5992
July	0.6006	0.5921	0.5971
August	0.5997	0.5911	0.5961
September	0.6051	0.5924	0.5993
October	0.6144	0.6015	0.6085
November	0.6162	0.6104	0.6139
December	0.6202	0.6116	0.6156