2018 UGX to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4941 BIF

YEARLY LOW

0.4525 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4772 BIF

2018 UGX to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 0.4941. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 0.4525.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0416 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4844 to the December average rate of 0.4867, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.47% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4941 was up 0.60% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4911, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,470 BIF

2017 Average 2,382 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 2,262 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 207.99 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4892

0.4596

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4782, compared to 0.4762 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0020 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4782

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4762

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0280 BIF (High: 0.4814 / Low: 0.4534). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0068 BIF (High: 0.4880 / Low: 0.4812).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0280

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0068

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0133 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0133

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.4867) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4848), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0019 (+0.38%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.4867

2017 Avg (December) 0.4848

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4880	0.4812	0.4844
February	0.4882	0.4808	0.4850
March	0.4883	0.4786	0.4832
April	0.4829	0.4758	0.4793
May	0.4802	0.4679	0.4753
June	0.4731	0.4525	0.4621
July	0.4814	0.4534	0.4717
August	0.4832	0.4698	0.4760
September	0.4705	0.4634	0.4670
October	0.4826	0.4644	0.4741
November	0.4877	0.4755	0.4816
December	0.4941	0.4780	0.4867