2015 UGX to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5648 BIF

YEARLY LOW

0.4179 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4880 BIF

2015 UGX to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.5648. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 0.4179.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1469 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5496 to the December average rate of 0.4627, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.5648 was down 10.61% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.6318, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,824 BIF

2014 Average 2,991 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 2,089 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 734.44 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.5621

0.4122

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5275, compared to 0.4484 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0791 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5275

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4484

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 0.0469 BIF (High: 0.5007 / Low: 0.4538). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0096 BIF (High: 0.5504 / Low: 0.5409).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0469

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0096

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0420 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0420

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.5496) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.6194), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0697 (-11.26%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.5496

2014 Avg (January) 0.6194

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5648	0.5404	0.5496
February	0.5504	0.5409	0.5463
March	0.5435	0.5199	0.5329
April	0.5294	0.5185	0.5230
May	0.5271	0.5101	0.5216
June	0.5119	0.4736	0.4917
July	0.5007	0.4538	0.4809
August	0.4529	0.4243	0.4389
September	0.4304	0.4195	0.4247
October	0.4431	0.4179	0.4281
November	0.4655	0.4401	0.4550
December	0.4728	0.4455	0.4627