2017 UGX to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4911 BIF

YEARLY LOW

0.4598 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4764 BIF

2017 UGX to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the UGX to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 8, valuing the pair at 0.4911. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 19, dropping to 0.4598.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0314 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4647 to the December average rate of 0.4848, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.34% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 0.4911 was down 1.53% compared to the 2016 peak of 0.4988, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,456 BIF

2016 Average 2,366 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 2,299 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 156.83 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

0.4869

0.4626

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4708, compared to 0.4820 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0112 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4708

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4820

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was May, with a trading range of 0.0146 BIF (High: 0.4791 / Low: 0.4645). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0059 BIF (High: 0.4855 / Low: 0.4796).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0146

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0059

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0026 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0026

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2017: 0.4848) against the same month in 2016 (average: 0.4653), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0195 (+4.19%).

2017 Avg (December) 0.4848

2016 Avg (December) 0.4653

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4733	0.4598	0.4647
February	0.4784	0.4683	0.4720
March	0.4788	0.4645	0.4701
April	0.4725	0.4642	0.4675
May	0.4791	0.4645	0.4700
June	0.4839	0.4770	0.4804
July	0.4811	0.4720	0.4782
August	0.4846	0.4769	0.4810
September	0.4855	0.4793	0.4833
October	0.4855	0.4796	0.4820
November	0.4869	0.4798	0.4826
December	0.4911	0.4830	0.4848