2019 UGX to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5146 BIF

YEARLY LOW

0.4809 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4972 BIF

2019 UGX to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the UGX to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 0.5146. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 0.4809.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0338 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4873 to the December average rate of 0.5109, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.5146 was up 4.16% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.4941, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,573 BIF

2018 Average 2,386 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 2,404 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 168.83 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.5133

0.4849

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4907, compared to 0.5037 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0130 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4907

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5037

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.0121 BIF (High: 0.4929 / Low: 0.4809). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0048 BIF (High: 0.5027 / Low: 0.4979).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0121

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0048

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0026 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0026

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 0.5109) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.4867), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0242 (+4.98%).

2019 Avg (December) 0.5109

2018 Avg (December) 0.4867

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4929	0.4809	0.4873
February	0.4990	0.4892	0.4938
March	0.4949	0.4870	0.4913
April	0.4933	0.4868	0.4901
May	0.4924	0.4852	0.4877
June	0.4998	0.4880	0.4940
July	0.5012	0.4954	0.4986
August	0.5027	0.4979	0.4998
September	0.5076	0.5002	0.5041
October	0.5071	0.4984	0.5025
November	0.5085	0.5031	0.5065
December	0.5146	0.5060	0.5109