YEARLY HIGH
5.4105 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4.5635 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9105 UGX

2012 XAF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the XAF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 5.4105. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 23, dropping to 4.5635.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8471 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7449 to the December average rate of 5.3433, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.61% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 5.4105 was down 13.17% compared to the 2011 peak of 6.2313, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XAF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,053 UGX
2011 Average 26,607 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 22,817 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,235.29 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

5.4136
4.5699
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XAF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.8435, compared to 4.9776 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1341 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.8435
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9776

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 0.3846 UGX (High: 4.9985 / Low: 4.6139). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1001 UGX (High: 5.4105 / Low: 5.3104).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.3846
December Spread (Stable) ±0.1001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1838 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1838

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 5.3433) against the same month in 2011 (average: 4.9235), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4198 (+8.53%).

2012 Avg (December) 5.3433
2011 Avg (December) 4.9235

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.8960 4.6507 4.7449
February 4.9985 4.6139 4.7097
March 5.1606 4.9013 4.9975
April 5.0845 4.9453 5.0215
May 5.0605 4.7050 4.8377
June 4.8105 4.6857 4.7496
July 4.7588 4.5635 4.6403
August 4.8291 4.6407 4.7112
September 5.0187 4.8163 4.9384
October 5.1499 5.0312 5.1071
November 5.3261 5.0347 5.1253
December 5.4105 5.3104 5.3433