YEARLY HIGH
6.5725 UGX
YEARLY LOW
6.1128 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.3246 UGX

2019 XAF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the XAF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 6.5725. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 26, dropping to 6.1128.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4597 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4485 to the December average rate of 6.2246, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 6.5725 was down 5.70% compared to the 2018 peak of 6.9697, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XAF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,862 UGX
2018 Average 33,539 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 30,564 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,298.47 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

6.4758
6.1472
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XAF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4076, compared to 6.2416 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1660 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4076
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.2416

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.2119 UGX (High: 6.3686 / Low: 6.1568). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0752 UGX (High: 6.2677 / Low: 6.1925).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2119
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0752

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1097 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1097

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 6.4485) against the same month in 2018 (average: 6.7697), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3212 (-4.75%).

2019 Avg (January) 6.4485
2018 Avg (January) 6.7697

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.5725 6.3637 6.4485
February 6.4223 6.3026 6.3562
March 6.4575 6.3195 6.3824
April 6.4685 6.3427 6.4026
May 6.4660 6.3784 6.4260
June 6.5055 6.3722 6.4301
July 6.4086 6.2459 6.3205
August 6.3686 6.1568 6.2671
September 6.2438 6.1128 6.1746
October 6.3172 6.1215 6.2353
November 6.3166 6.1958 6.2275
December 6.2677 6.1925 6.2246