YEARLY HIGH
6.1811 UGX
YEARLY LOW
5.6289 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.9210 UGX

2022 XAF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the XAF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 31, valuing the pair at 6.1811. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 3, dropping to 5.6289.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5523 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0908 to the December average rate of 5.9561, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 6.1811 was down 11.00% compared to the 2021 peak of 6.9453, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XAF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,906 UGX
2021 Average 32,348 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 28,144 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,761.45 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

6.1269
5.6939
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XAF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9884, compared to 5.8536 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1348 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9884
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8536

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 0.5251 UGX (High: 6.1811 / Low: 5.6560). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1433 UGX (High: 6.1444 / Low: 6.0010).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.5251
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1433

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1810 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1810

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2022: 5.8497) against the same month in 2021 (average: 6.5791), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7294 (-11.09%).

2022 Avg (May) 5.8497
2021 Avg (May) 6.5791

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.1606 5.9588 6.0908
February 6.1444 6.0010 6.0786
March 6.1167 5.9629 6.0271
April 6.0311 5.6815 5.8460
May 6.1811 5.6560 5.8497
June 6.1693 5.9328 6.0379
July 6.0288 5.7554 5.8938
August 6.0723 5.7579 5.9162
September 5.9087 5.6331 5.7728
October 5.8335 5.6663 5.7300
November 5.9511 5.6289 5.8527
December 6.0835 5.8827 5.9561