YEARLY HIGH
6.7029 UGX
YEARLY LOW
6.1537 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.5316 UGX

2026 XAF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the XAF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 30, valuing the pair at 6.7029. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 6.1537.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5492 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3846 to the December average rate of 6.5843, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.13% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 6.7029 was up 3.20% compared to the 2025 peak of 6.4950, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XAF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,514 UGX
2025 Average 31,020 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 30,768 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,746.01 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

6.7261
6.3536
JanuMarcMayJuly

XAF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.5372, compared to 6.5149 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0223 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.5372
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.5149

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.3821 UGX (High: 6.5357 / Low: 6.1537). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 UGX (High: 6.5843 / Low: 6.5843).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3821
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1759 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1759

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 6.6950) against the same month in 2025 (average: 6.2859), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4092 (+6.51%).

2026 Avg (May) 6.6950
2025 Avg (May) 6.2859

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.5357 6.1537 6.3846
February 6.5080 6.3595 6.4271
March 6.6735 6.4494 6.5726
April 6.6942 6.5600 6.6246
May 6.7029 6.6823 6.6950
June 6.6919 6.3587 6.5191
July 6.5468 6.3637 6.4455
August 6.5843 6.5843 6.5843