YEARLY HIGH
6.3932 UGX
YEARLY LOW
5.9438 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.1434 UGX

2023 XAF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the XAF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 6.3932. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 5.9438.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4494 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0713 to the December average rate of 6.2974, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 6.3932 was up 3.43% compared to the 2022 peak of 6.1811, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XAF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,966 UGX
2022 Average 29,601 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 29,719 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,247.17 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

6.3256
5.9872
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XAF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.1278, compared to 6.1591 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0313 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.1278
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.1591

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was March, with a trading range of 0.3417 UGX (High: 6.2934 / Low: 5.9517). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1036 UGX (High: 6.1234 / Low: 6.0199).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3417
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1036

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0893 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0893

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 6.2974) against the same month in 2022 (average: 5.9561), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3413 (+5.73%).

2023 Avg (December) 6.2974
2022 Avg (December) 5.9561

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.1354 5.9851 6.0713
February 6.1862 5.9438 6.0154
March 6.2934 5.9517 6.1046
April 6.3363 6.1828 6.2703
May 6.3572 6.0976 6.1810
June 6.2073 6.0710 6.1240
July 6.2841 6.0514 6.1720
August 6.2469 6.0123 6.1216
September 6.1234 6.0199 6.0865
October 6.1030 5.9719 6.0446
November 6.3780 6.1065 6.2322
December 6.3932 6.1926 6.2974