YEARLY HIGH
6.4950 UGX
YEARLY LOW
5.7576 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.2021 UGX

2025 XAF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the XAF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 6.4950. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 5.7576.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7375 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.8186 to the December average rate of 6.3833, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.71% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 6.4950 was down 0.61% compared to the 2024 peak of 6.5347, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XAF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,475 UGX
2024 Average 30,987 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 28,788 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,687.36 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

6.4450
5.7616
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XAF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.1021, compared to 6.3021 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2000 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.1021
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.3021

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was April, with a trading range of 0.4144 UGX (High: 6.4331 / Low: 6.0187). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1263 UGX (High: 5.9026 / Low: 5.7763).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.4144
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1263

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1226 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1226

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2025: 6.3833) against the same month in 2024 (average: 5.8492), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5341 (+9.13%).

2025 Avg (December) 6.3833
2024 Avg (December) 5.8492

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.9083 5.7576 5.8186
February 5.9026 5.7763 5.8417
March 6.1110 5.8134 6.0382
April 6.4331 6.0187 6.2847
May 6.3430 6.1782 6.2859
June 6.4597 6.2882 6.3438
July 6.4706 6.2395 6.3881
August 6.3665 6.2352 6.3270
September 6.3418 6.2140 6.2745
October 6.2281 6.0438 6.1519
November 6.4859 6.1023 6.2878
December 6.4950 6.2767 6.3833