YEARLY HIGH
6.9697 UGX
YEARLY LOW
6.3656 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.7093 UGX

2018 XAF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the XAF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 16, valuing the pair at 6.9697. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 6.3656.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6041 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.7697 to the December average rate of 6.4418, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.9697 was up 4.79% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.6511, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XAF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,849 UGX
2017 Average 31,143 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 31,828 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,020.60 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.9651
6.3942
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XAF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.8269, compared to 6.5916 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2353 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.8269
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.5916

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.3686 UGX (High: 6.9446 / Low: 6.5760). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1254 UGX (High: 6.9697 / Low: 6.8443).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.3686
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1254

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2002 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 6.9175) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.9273), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9902 (+16.71%).

2018 Avg (April) 6.9175
2017 Avg (April) 5.9273

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.8881 6.6330 6.7697
February 6.9297 6.7745 6.8504
March 6.9581 6.8160 6.8738
April 6.9697 6.8443 6.9175
May 6.8071 6.6266 6.7173
June 6.9345 6.7110 6.8329
July 6.9446 6.5760 6.6967
August 6.7301 6.4437 6.5631
September 6.8669 6.6555 6.7539
October 6.7502 6.4973 6.6181
November 6.5510 6.4115 6.4759
December 6.5022 6.3656 6.4418