YEARLY HIGH
6.8422 UGX
YEARLY LOW
6.0388 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.4677 UGX

2020 XAF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the XAF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 17, valuing the pair at 6.8422. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 6.0388.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8033 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.2268 to the December average rate of 6.8016, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 6.8422 was up 4.10% compared to the 2019 peak of 6.5725, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XAF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,211 UGX
2019 Average 31,623 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 30,194 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,016.72 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

6.8698
6.0514
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XAF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.2826, compared to 6.6529 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3703 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.2826
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6529

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.3576 UGX (High: 6.5547 / Low: 6.1971). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0706 UGX (High: 6.8422 / Low: 6.7716).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3576
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0706

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1072 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1072

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 6.8016) against the same month in 2019 (average: 6.2246), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5770 (+9.27%).

2020 Avg (December) 6.8016
2019 Avg (December) 6.2246

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.3340 6.1777 6.2268
February 6.2344 6.0388 6.1196
March 6.5547 6.1971 6.3575
April 6.3410 6.1982 6.2652
May 6.4275 6.2424 6.3152
June 6.5089 6.3444 6.4112
July 6.6702 6.3644 6.4699
August 6.6821 6.5679 6.6314
September 6.7006 6.5669 6.6426
October 6.7604 6.6055 6.6704
November 6.7701 6.6293 6.7013
December 6.8422 6.7716 6.8016