YEARLY HIGH
6.3917 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4.6712 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4715 UGX

2015 XAF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the XAF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 14, valuing the pair at 6.3917. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 15, dropping to 4.6712.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7204 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0531 to the December average rate of 5.5775, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 6.3917 was up 15.61% compared to the 2014 peak of 5.5286, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XAF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 31,958 UGX
2014 Average 26,267 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 23,356 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,602.19 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

6.4130
4.7176
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XAF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0602, compared to 5.8828 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8226 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0602
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8828

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was August, with a trading range of 0.6248 UGX (High: 6.3592 / Low: 5.7344). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0656 UGX (High: 4.9983 / Low: 4.9327).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.6248
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0656

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.6275 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6275

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 6.2238) against the same month in 2014 (average: 5.1664), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0574 (+20.47%).

2015 Avg (October) 6.2238
2014 Avg (October) 5.1664

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1742 4.8720 5.0531
February 4.9983 4.9327 4.9663
March 4.9641 4.6712 4.8589
April 5.0982 4.7985 4.9245
May 5.2078 5.0217 5.1135
June 5.6979 5.0994 5.4452
July 5.9482 5.4736 5.6172
August 6.3592 5.7344 6.0102
September 6.3309 6.2289 6.2717
October 6.3917 5.9051 6.2238
November 5.9586 5.3930 5.5963
December 5.7647 5.3787 5.5775