2011 ARS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

25.2488 KES

YEARLY LOW

19.4414 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

21.4830 KES

2011 ARS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ARS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 25.2488. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 19.4414.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.8074 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.3459 to the December average rate of 20.1661, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 25.2488 was up 20.48% compared to the 2010 peak of 20.9569, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 126,244 KES

2010 Average 101,271 KES

Yearly Trough Low 97,207 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 29,036.92 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

24.3183

19.7886

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.7921, compared to 22.1738 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.3818 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.7921

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 22.1738

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 2.3011 KES (High: 23.2127 / Low: 20.9116). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1427 KES (High: 20.4333 / Low: 20.2906).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.3011

January Spread (Stable) ±0.1427

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.0571 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.0571

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 23.9409) against the same month in 2010 (average: 20.3825), the exchange rate shifted by +3.5584 (+17.46%).

2011 Avg (October) 23.9409

2010 Avg (October) 20.3825

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	20.4333	20.2906	20.3459
February	20.4487	20.1729	20.2754
March	21.3490	20.5066	20.8953
April	20.7912	20.4285	20.6226
May	21.2575	20.4092	20.8844
June	22.3433	20.9862	21.7289
July	22.0474	21.5627	21.8313
August	22.9165	22.0567	22.3078
September	24.4755	22.2729	22.9131
October	25.2488	23.4246	23.9409
November	23.2127	20.9116	21.8838
December	20.9997	19.4414	20.1661