2014 ARS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.2704 KES

YEARLY LOW

10.4897 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.8688 KES

2014 ARS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 13.2704. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 29, dropping to 10.4897.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7807 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.4194 to the December average rate of 10.5864, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 13.2704 was down 24.79% compared to the 2013 peak of 17.6440, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 66,352 KES

2013 Average 79,045 KES

Yearly Trough Low 52,448 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,903.64 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

12.6088

10.3357

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.1363, compared to 10.6012 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5351 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.1363

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.6012

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 2.5194 KES (High: 13.2704 / Low: 10.7510). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0477 KES (High: 10.8992 / Low: 10.8515).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.5194

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0477

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.4409 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4409

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 12.4194) against the same month in 2013 (average: 17.5715), the exchange rate shifted by -5.1521 (-29.32%).

2014 Avg (January) 12.4194

2013 Avg (January) 17.5715

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.2704	10.7510	12.4194
February	11.1103	10.7853	10.9785
March	11.0068	10.7981	10.9191
April	10.8764	10.7992	10.8409
May	10.8992	10.8515	10.8776
June	10.8614	10.7481	10.7824
July	10.7961	10.7013	10.7640
August	10.6737	10.5090	10.6052
September	10.6167	10.5143	10.5579
October	10.5754	10.4897	10.5251
November	10.6036	10.5171	10.5688
December	10.6821	10.5671	10.5864