2020 ARS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7007 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.2973 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5205 KES

2020 ARS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the ARS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 1.7007. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 1.2973.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4035 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6870 to the December average rate of 1.3385, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.7007 was down 38.32% compared to the 2019 peak of 2.7574, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,504 KES

2019 Average 10,889 KES

Yearly Trough Low 6,486 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,017.26 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1.7219

1.3037

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6188, compared to 1.4222 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1965 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6188

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4222

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was December, with a trading range of 0.0697 KES (High: 1.3670 / Low: 1.2973). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0250 KES (High: 1.5139 / Low: 1.4889).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0697

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0250

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0492 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0492

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 1.6870) against the same month in 2019 (average: 2.7187), the exchange rate shifted by -1.0317 (-37.95%).

2020 Avg (January) 1.6870

2019 Avg (January) 2.7187

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7007	1.6651	1.6870
February	1.6651	1.6289	1.6458
March	1.6708	1.6037	1.6447
April	1.6400	1.6045	1.6242
May	1.6277	1.5598	1.5800
June	1.5573	1.5134	1.5309
July	1.5139	1.4889	1.5044
August	1.4890	1.4600	1.4768
September	1.4585	1.4241	1.4432
October	1.4233	1.3875	1.4015
November	1.3871	1.3541	1.3690
December	1.3670	1.2973	1.3385