2013 ARS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

17.6440 KES

YEARLY LOW

13.2436 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

15.8189 KES

2013 ARS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 17.6440. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 13.2436.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.4004 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.5715 to the December average rate of 13.6322, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 17.6440 was down 13.14% compared to the 2012 peak of 20.3138, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 88,220 KES

2012 Average 93,024 KES

Yearly Trough Low 66,218 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 22,001.89 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

17.9655

13.2382

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.7271, compared to 14.9107 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.8164 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.7271

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.9107

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 0.8714 KES (High: 14.1150 / Low: 13.2436). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1405 KES (High: 17.6440 / Low: 17.5035).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.8714

January Spread (Stable) ±0.1405

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.7013 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7013

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 17.5715) against the same month in 2012 (average: 19.9372), the exchange rate shifted by -2.3657 (-11.87%).

2013 Avg (January) 17.5715

2012 Avg (January) 19.9372

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	17.6440	17.5035	17.5715
February	17.5805	17.1086	17.4608
March	17.1251	16.6769	16.8596
April	16.6974	16.1706	16.3603
May	16.1730	15.9949	16.0665
June	16.1228	15.9216	16.0441
July	16.0832	15.8849	15.9789
August	15.8593	15.4471	15.6823
September	15.4401	14.9475	15.2481
October	14.9793	14.4239	14.5895
November	14.4406	14.1149	14.3335
December	14.1150	13.2436	13.6322