2019 ARS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.7574 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.6786 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.1799 KES

2019 ARS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 2.7574. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 1.6786.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0788 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.7187 to the December average rate of 1.6962, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2.7574 was down 50.94% compared to the 2018 peak of 5.6208, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,787 KES

2018 Average 19,342 KES

Yearly Trough Low 8,393 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,394.03 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2.8210

1.5939

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4501, compared to 1.9098 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5403 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4501

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.9098

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.6168 KES (High: 2.3312 / Low: 1.7144). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0418 KES (High: 1.7204 / Low: 1.6786).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.6168

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0418

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.4281 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4281

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 2.7187) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5.4158), the exchange rate shifted by -2.6971 (-49.80%).

2019 Avg (January) 2.7187

2018 Avg (January) 5.4158

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.7574	2.6773	2.7187
February	2.7040	2.5256	2.6151
March	2.5156	2.2977	2.4334
April	2.4349	2.2170	2.3484
May	2.2761	2.2332	2.2567
June	2.4133	2.2521	2.3282
July	2.4789	2.3756	2.4338
August	2.3312	1.7144	2.0057
September	1.8790	1.7394	1.8337
October	1.8084	1.7272	1.7741
November	1.7350	1.6930	1.7152
December	1.7204	1.6786	1.6962