YEARLY HIGH
7.9045 KES
YEARLY LOW
6.3670 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.8914 KES

2016 ARS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 7.9045. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 6.3670.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5376 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.5505 to the December average rate of 6.4510, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 7.9045 was down 30.55% compared to the 2015 peak of 11.3814, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,523 KES
2015 Average 53,261 KES
Yearly Trough Low 31,835 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,687.75 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

7.6604
6.3410
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.0986, compared to 6.6842 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4144 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.0986
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6842

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.8111 KES (High: 7.2731 / Low: 6.4620). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1124 KES (High: 6.7123 / Low: 6.5998).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.8111
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1124

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.6490 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6490

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 7.5505) against the same month in 2015 (average: 10.6277), the exchange rate shifted by -3.0772 (-28.95%).

2016 Avg (January) 7.5505
2015 Avg (January) 10.6277

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.9045 7.3610 7.5505
February 7.2731 6.4620 6.9015
March 7.0328 6.4565 6.8105
April 7.2128 6.8707 7.0357
May 7.2407 7.0579 7.1351
June 7.3643 6.6510 7.1586
July 6.9474 6.7165 6.8017
August 6.9182 6.7414 6.8340
September 6.7851 6.6011 6.7079
October 6.7123 6.5998 6.6741
November 6.7828 6.4547 6.6366
December 6.6163 6.3670 6.4510