YEARLY HIGH
0.1987 KES
YEARLY LOW
0.1253 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1486 KES

2024 ARS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the ARS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 0.1987. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 0.1253.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0734 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1954 to the December average rate of 0.1268, the exchange rate registered a net change of -35.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 0.1987 was down 71.55% compared to the 2023 peak of 0.6983, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 993 KES
2023 Average 2,621 KES
Yearly Trough Low 626 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 366.85 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

0.2023
0.1199
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1639, compared to 0.1332 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0307 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1639
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1332

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was February, with a trading range of 0.0254 KES (High: 0.1964 / Low: 0.1710). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0023 KES (High: 0.1355 / Low: 0.1332).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0254
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0023

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2024. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0212 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0212

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2024: 0.1954) against the same month in 2023 (average: 0.6810), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4856 (-71.31%).

2024 Avg (January) 0.1954
2023 Avg (January) 0.6810

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1987 0.1924 0.1954
February 0.1964 0.1710 0.1829
March 0.1746 0.1541 0.1617
April 0.1540 0.1468 0.1513
May 0.1538 0.1442 0.1486
June 0.1461 0.1411 0.1435
July 0.1420 0.1382 0.1400
August 0.1395 0.1356 0.1373
September 0.1355 0.1332 0.1343
October 0.1330 0.1302 0.1318
November 0.1308 0.1282 0.1294
December 0.1281 0.1253 0.1268