2012 ARS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

20.3138 KES

YEARLY LOW

17.4890 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

18.6059 KES

2012 ARS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 20.3138. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 17.4890.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8248 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 19.9372 to the December average rate of 17.6230, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 20.3138 was down 19.55% compared to the 2011 peak of 25.2488, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 101,569 KES

2011 Average 107,448 KES

Yearly Trough Low 87,445 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,124.03 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

20.1686

17.3916

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 19.1451, compared to 18.0666 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0785 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 19.1451

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.0666

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.9716 KES (High: 20.3138 / Low: 19.3422). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1844 KES (High: 17.9368 / Low: 17.7524).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.9716

November Spread (Stable) ±0.1844

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.8278 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8278

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 19.9372) against the same month in 2011 (average: 20.3459), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4087 (-2.01%).

2012 Avg (January) 19.9372

2011 Avg (January) 20.3459

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	20.3138	19.3422	19.9372
February	19.3177	18.9598	19.1094
March	19.1861	18.8418	19.0316
April	19.0183	18.8196	18.9166
May	19.4093	18.7563	18.9530
June	19.2805	18.5262	18.9230
July	18.6485	18.4109	18.5112
August	18.4267	18.1771	18.2560
September	18.2422	18.0251	18.1304
October	18.1344	17.8897	18.0201
November	17.9368	17.7524	17.8590
December	17.7467	17.4890	17.6230