2015 ARS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.3814 KES

YEARLY LOW

7.6912 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.6529 KES

2015 ARS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 7, valuing the pair at 11.3814. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 7.6912.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6903 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.6277 to the December average rate of 9.2093, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 11.3814 was down 14.23% compared to the 2014 peak of 13.2704, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 56,907 KES

2014 Average 54,349 KES

Yearly Trough Low 38,456 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,451.28 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

11.4551

9.0051

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.6195, compared to 10.6863 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0669 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.6195

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.6863

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 2.8545 KES (High: 10.5457 / Low: 7.6912). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0636 KES (High: 10.6566 / Low: 10.5930).

December Spread (Volatile) ±2.8545

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0636

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.4324 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4324

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 11.2509) against the same month in 2014 (average: 10.5579), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6930 (+6.56%).

2015 Avg (September) 11.2509

2014 Avg (September) 10.5579

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.6566	10.5930	10.6277
February	10.6155	10.4788	10.5392
March	10.4945	10.4094	10.4520
April	10.6201	10.4597	10.5396
May	10.9235	10.6111	10.7580
June	10.9076	10.6803	10.8003
July	11.2287	10.9093	11.0810
August	11.1928	10.9466	11.0875
September	11.3814	11.1277	11.2509
October	11.0883	10.6674	10.8476
November	10.8087	10.5382	10.6417
December	10.5457	7.6912	9.2093