2022 ARS to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1023 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.6972 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9235 KES

2022 ARS to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the ARS to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.1023. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.6972.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4051 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0915 to the December average rate of 0.7143, the exchange rate registered a net change of -34.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 1.1023 was down 15.31% compared to the 2021 peak of 1.3016, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,511 KES

2021 Average 5,780 KES

Yearly Trough Low 3,486 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,025.36 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

1.1292

0.6766

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0283, compared to 0.8187 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2095 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0283

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8187

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was October, with a trading range of 0.0467 KES (High: 0.8204 / Low: 0.7738). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0220 KES (High: 1.1023 / Low: 1.0803).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0467

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0220

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2022. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0466 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0466

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2022: 1.0915) against the same month in 2021 (average: 1.2797), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1883 (-14.71%).

2022 Avg (January) 1.0915

2021 Avg (January) 1.2797

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1023	1.0803	1.0915
February	1.0808	1.0547	1.0689
March	1.0598	1.0353	1.0459
April	1.0364	1.0046	1.0195
May	1.0038	0.9721	0.9875
June	0.9708	0.9416	0.9564
July	0.9401	0.9048	0.9226
August	0.9024	0.8656	0.8837
September	0.8645	0.8204	0.8430
October	0.8204	0.7738	0.7963
November	0.7720	0.7324	0.7525
December	0.7310	0.6972	0.7143