YEARLY HIGH
135.2298 DJF
YEARLY LOW
117.2469 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
126.5058 DJF

2011 BGN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BGN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 4, valuing the pair at 135.2298. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 117.2469.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 17.9829 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 121.4577 to the December average rate of 119.9787, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 135.2298 was up 2.19% compared to the 2010 peak of 132.3311, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 676,149 DJF
2010 Average 602,713 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 586,235 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 89,914.30 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

132.4610
118.8440
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 127.5197, compared to 125.4919 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.0278 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 127.5197
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 125.4919

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 8.8959 DJF (High: 128.6690 / Low: 119.7731). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.1258 DJF (High: 131.6404 / Low: 128.5146).

October Spread (Volatile) ±8.8959
August Spread (Stable) ±3.1258

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 4.9924 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.9924

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2011: 130.4674) against the same month in 2010 (average: 114.5344), the exchange rate shifted by +15.9330 (+13.91%).

2011 Avg (May) 130.4674
2010 Avg (May) 114.5344

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 124.6345 117.2469 121.4577
February 125.7068 122.1266 123.9914
March 129.1325 125.1516 127.1853
April 135.0298 128.4954 131.3263
May 135.2298 127.3969 130.4674
June 133.1398 128.0148 130.6900
July 131.7586 126.9880 129.7369
August 131.6404 128.5146 130.2276
September 129.8049 122.0348 125.2352
October 128.6690 119.7731 124.6462
November 125.4796 120.0023 123.1266
December 122.6505 117.6098 119.9787