YEARLY HIGH
125.7184 DJF
YEARLY LOW
115.9316 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
120.4848 DJF

2013 BGN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the BGN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 11, valuing the pair at 125.7184. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 27, dropping to 115.9316.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.7868 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 120.5380 to the December average rate of 124.6481, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.41% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 125.7184 was up 2.32% compared to the 2012 peak of 122.8709, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 628,592 DJF
2012 Average 585,542 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 579,658 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 48,933.89 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

125.3656
116.7554
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 119.0673, compared to 121.9023 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.8350 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 119.0673
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 121.9023

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 5.4466 DJF (High: 123.8867 / Low: 118.4401). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.5889 DJF (High: 121.5052 / Low: 119.9162).

February Spread (Volatile) ±5.4466
August Spread (Stable) ±1.5889

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 3.6955 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.6955

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 124.6481) against the same month in 2012 (average: 119.1839), the exchange rate shifted by +5.4643 (+4.58%).

2013 Avg (December) 124.6481
2012 Avg (December) 119.1839

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 122.7270 118.4744 120.5380
February 123.8867 118.4401 121.1685
March 118.2632 115.9316 117.4730
April 118.8457 116.2172 117.9414
May 119.1300 116.4825 117.6844
June 121.5532 117.8611 119.5985
July 120.7773 116.4137 118.7556
August 121.5052 119.9162 120.8338
September 122.9624 119.4535 121.2507
October 125.1879 122.1427 123.5530
November 123.7300 121.2416 122.3727
December 125.7184 122.9130 124.6481