YEARLY HIGH
111.8156 DJF
YEARLY LOW
97.1329 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
103.8928 DJF

2020 BGN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the BGN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 111.8156. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 19, dropping to 97.1329.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.6827 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 101.0617 to the December average rate of 110.7827, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 111.8156 was up 6.41% compared to the 2019 peak of 105.0833, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 559,078 DJF
2019 Average 509,235 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 485,664 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 73,413.58 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

111.9689
97.7346
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 100.2926, compared to 107.4931 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.2004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 100.2926
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 107.4931

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 6.5775 DJF (High: 103.7103 / Low: 97.1329). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7089 DJF (High: 108.5662 / Low: 106.8573).

March Spread (Volatile) ±6.5775
August Spread (Stable) ±1.7089

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.7114 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.7114

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 110.7827) against the same month in 2019 (average: 101.1311), the exchange rate shifted by +9.6516 (+9.54%).

2020 Avg (December) 110.7827
2019 Avg (December) 101.1311

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 102.0693 100.2534 101.0617
February 100.9225 98.2017 99.4004
March 103.7103 97.1329 100.6323
April 99.9815 98.0522 98.9208
May 101.0753 98.3006 99.3070
June 103.5044 101.3620 102.4335
July 107.8196 102.2900 104.3034
August 108.5662 106.8573 107.6756
September 108.3406 105.7635 107.2444
October 108.0057 106.1209 107.1329
November 108.8867 105.8328 107.8194
December 111.8156 109.9691 110.7827