YEARLY HIGH
104.2654 DJF
YEARLY LOW
87.2566 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
95.9486 DJF

2022 BGN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the BGN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 104.2654. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 87.2566.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 17.0088 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 102.9369 to the December average rate of 96.2377, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 104.2654 was down 7.04% compared to the 2021 peak of 112.1636, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 521,327 DJF
2021 Average 538,398 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 436,283 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 85,044.07 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

104.6075
88.0431
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 99.6142, compared to 92.2831 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7.3311 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 99.6142
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 92.2831

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was November, with a trading range of 6.1367 DJF (High: 94.7571 / Low: 88.6203). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.0774 DJF (High: 97.1704 / Low: 95.0930).

November Spread (Volatile) ±6.1367
December Spread (Stable) ±2.0774

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 3.6245 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.6245

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2022: 102.9369) against the same month in 2021 (average: 110.8760), the exchange rate shifted by -7.9392 (-7.16%).

2022 Avg (January) 102.9369
2021 Avg (January) 110.8760

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 104.2654 101.2931 102.9369
February 104.1867 101.7576 103.2271
March 101.5826 99.0477 100.2301
April 100.7074 95.4927 98.6859
May 98.1149 94.4121 96.2836
June 97.9309 94.8457 96.3215
July 94.7834 91.2478 92.6970
August 94.0512 90.4884 92.2155
September 92.2693 87.2566 90.2299
October 91.0996 88.2648 89.4234
November 94.7571 88.6203 92.8950
December 97.1704 95.0930 96.2377