2016 BGN to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

104.4895 DJF

YEARLY LOW

94.6926 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

100.5623 DJF

2016 BGN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 104.4895. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 94.6926.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.7969 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 98.7039 to the December average rate of 96.1549, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 104.4895 was down 5.38% compared to the 2015 peak of 110.4360, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 522,447 DJF

2015 Average 504,116 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 473,463 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 48,984.58 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

103.6877

95.4701

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 101.4161, compared to 99.7084 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.7077 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 101.4161

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 99.7084

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 5.3416 DJF (High: 101.4311 / Low: 96.0895). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0249 DJF (High: 102.1520 / Low: 101.1272).

November Spread (Volatile) ±5.3416

September Spread (Stable) ±1.0249

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.0669 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.0669

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 102.5847) against the same month in 2015 (average: 101.2276), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3571 (+1.34%).

2016 Avg (May) 102.5847

2015 Avg (May) 101.2276

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	99.2610	97.8510	98.7039
February	102.7363	98.7588	100.8665
March	103.3313	98.7560	101.1625
April	103.9093	102.0776	103.0029
May	104.4895	101.1074	102.5847
June	103.5595	100.2607	102.1761
July	101.1405	99.4374	100.3632
August	102.7317	100.5646	101.6186
September	102.1520	101.1272	101.6674
October	101.9856	98.8565	100.2249
November	101.4311	96.0895	98.2217
December	97.6552	94.6926	96.1549