YEARLY HIGH
101.9031 DJF
YEARLY LOW
94.2479 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
98.3823 DJF

2024 BGN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the BGN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 25, valuing the pair at 101.9031. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 94.2479.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.6552 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 99.2307 to the December average rate of 95.2452, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 101.9031 was down 0.23% compared to the 2023 peak of 102.1370, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 509,516 DJF
2023 Average 491,892 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 471,240 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 38,275.91 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

101.6374
94.6641
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 98.2991, compared to 98.4655 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1664 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 98.2991
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 98.4655

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was November, with a trading range of 4.7717 DJF (High: 99.3003 / Low: 94.5285). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4652 DJF (High: 99.5603 / Low: 98.0950).

November Spread (Volatile) ±4.7717
March Spread (Stable) ±1.4652

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.4424 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.4424

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2024: 101.0563) against the same month in 2023 (average: 97.1760), the exchange rate shifted by +3.8802 (+3.99%).

2024 Avg (September) 101.0563
2023 Avg (September) 97.1760

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 100.3755 98.3804 99.2307
February 99.0847 97.4140 98.1971
March 99.5603 98.0950 98.7969
April 98.7104 96.5523 97.4960
May 99.0508 96.9272 98.2275
June 99.1257 96.7787 97.8465
July 99.4028 97.4418 98.6678
August 101.6508 98.0639 100.1013
September 101.9031 100.0826 101.0563
October 100.6064 97.9461 99.0825
November 99.3003 94.5285 96.6401
December 96.3953 94.2479 95.2452