2015 BGN to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

110.4360 DJF

YEARLY LOW

95.5234 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

100.8329 DJF

2015 BGN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the BGN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 110.4360. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 15, dropping to 95.5234.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.9127 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 105.8088 to the December average rate of 99.0006, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 110.4360 was down 13.20% compared to the 2014 peak of 127.2261, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 552,180 DJF

2014 Average 605,841 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 477,617 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 74,563.35 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

106.6471

96.5874

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 101.4420, compared to 100.2237 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2182 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 101.4420

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 100.2237

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 9.1295 DJF (High: 110.4360 / Low: 101.3066). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.9954 DJF (High: 104.1136 / Low: 102.1182).

January Spread (Volatile) ±9.1295

February Spread (Stable) ±1.9954

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 4.9561 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.9561

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 105.8088) against the same month in 2014 (average: 123.8970), the exchange rate shifted by -18.0882 (-14.60%).

2015 Avg (January) 105.8088

2014 Avg (January) 123.8970

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	110.4360	101.3066	105.8088
February	104.1136	102.1182	103.3641
March	101.9666	95.5234	98.4080
April	101.4118	95.9931	98.1280
May	103.7359	98.6927	101.2276
June	102.9850	99.0954	101.7155
July	101.2209	98.2087	99.8560
August	104.9165	99.0744	101.1908
September	103.3156	101.1869	101.9973
October	104.0389	99.4012	101.8721
November	100.0427	96.0546	97.4257
December	99.8623	96.3439	99.0006