YEARLY HIGH
114.1521 DJF
YEARLY LOW
102.2020 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
107.4138 DJF

2018 BGN to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 114.1521. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 102.2020.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.9501 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 111.4745 to the December average rate of 103.5450, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.11% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 114.1521 was up 3.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 110.1065, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 570,761 DJF
2017 Average 516,586 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 511,010 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 59,750.60 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

113.0046
102.5610
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 109.9915, compared to 104.8361 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.1554 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 109.9915
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 104.8361

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 4.1519 DJF (High: 113.4796 / Low: 109.3277). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1660 DJF (High: 106.9904 / Low: 105.8245).

January Spread (Volatile) ±4.1519
July Spread (Stable) ±1.1660

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 3.5804 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.5804

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 112.1343) against the same month in 2017 (average: 97.3545), the exchange rate shifted by +14.7798 (+15.18%).

2018 Avg (February) 112.1343
2017 Avg (February) 97.3545

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 113.4796 109.3277 111.4745
February 114.1521 110.3474 112.1343
March 112.7103 110.8337 111.6316
April 112.1264 109.2581 111.0054
May 108.7182 105.1475 107.4250
June 107.5158 105.3189 106.2785
July 106.9904 105.8245 106.3700
August 106.6289 103.2737 105.0303
September 107.1375 105.1969 106.0831
October 105.5093 102.9790 104.5570
November 104.2673 102.2020 103.4313
December 104.2686 102.8962 103.5450