YEARLY HIGH
920.8525 STD
YEARLY LOW
832.8529 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
863.8344 STD

2018 HNL to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 920.8525. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 832.8529.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 87.9996 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 854.6178 to the December average rate of 867.7880, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.54% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 920.8525 was down 9.50% compared to the 2017 peak of 1017.4782, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,604,263 STD
2017 Average 4,629,081 STD
Yearly Trough Low 4,164,265 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 439,998.10 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

880.2795
837.5625
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 854.5997, compared to 873.0691 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 18.4694 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 854.5997
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 873.0691

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 60.9951 STD (High: 920.8525 / Low: 859.8574). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.8905 STD (High: 876.9952 / Low: 873.1048).

December Spread (Volatile) ±60.9951
September Spread (Stable) ±3.8905

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 13.4955 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -13.4955

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 867.7880) against the same month in 2017 (average: 875.1503), the exchange rate shifted by -7.3623 (-0.84%).

2018 Avg (December) 867.7880
2017 Avg (December) 875.1503

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 865.5877 835.2880 854.6178
February 851.5236 832.8529 841.1223
March 845.2909 837.0755 841.7602
April 849.2626 837.7401 842.3041
May 884.8931 860.4469 871.2990
June 883.8342 866.4281 876.4948
July 879.2963 871.1177 875.2849
August 881.4065 875.2831 876.7197
September 876.9952 873.1048 875.2127
October 881.9447 873.0617 876.1771
November 877.1079 862.8739 867.2322
December 920.8525 859.8574 867.7880