YEARLY HIGH
901.6538 STD
YEARLY LOW
841.0344 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
869.8812 STD

2020 HNL to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the HNL to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 29, valuing the pair at 901.6538. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 15, dropping to 841.0344.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 60.6194 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 869.9129 to the December average rate of 852.7627, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.97% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 901.6538 was down 37.82% compared to the 2019 peak of 1450.0464, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,508,269 STD
2019 Average 4,343,785 STD
Yearly Trough Low 4,205,172 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 303,096.90 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

892.5503
844.4691
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 882.4189, compared to 857.3435 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 25.0754 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 882.4189
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 857.3435

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was July, with a trading range of 27.8995 STD (High: 884.8471 / Low: 856.9476). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.1956 STD (High: 886.6307 / Low: 881.4351).

July Spread (Volatile) ±27.8995
June Spread (Stable) ±5.1956

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 22.0716 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -22.0716

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 888.5436) against the same month in 2019 (average: 858.5432), the exchange rate shifted by +30.0003 (+3.49%).

2020 Avg (March) 888.5436
2019 Avg (March) 858.5432

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 877.6484 852.0368 869.9129
February 894.8239 868.6861 883.9905
March 901.6538 884.5877 888.5436
April 891.2558 882.0277 885.2917
May 888.3966 880.9706 883.0654
June 886.6307 881.4351 883.7096
July 884.8471 856.9476 876.0165
August 861.9824 848.2090 853.9449
September 853.8512 841.0344 848.4759
October 857.8441 849.1402 854.1879
November 861.4688 851.5200 858.6731
December 863.2082 842.4582 852.7627