YEARLY HIGH
1450.0464 STD
YEARLY LOW
839.5413 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
868.6476 STD

2019 HNL to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the HNL to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 9, valuing the pair at 1450.0464. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 11, dropping to 839.5413.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 610.5051 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 861.6229 to the December average rate of 890.9891, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.41% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1450.0464 was up 57.47% compared to the 2018 peak of 920.8525, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,250,232 STD
2018 Average 4,320,024 STD
Yearly Trough Low 4,197,706 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,052,525.48 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

894.6502
850.7176
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 859.4152, compared to 877.8800 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 18.4647 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 859.4152
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 877.8800

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 582.0764 STD (High: 1450.0464 / Low: 867.9699). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.5150 STD (High: 861.9261 / Low: 856.4112).

December Spread (Volatile) ±582.0764
April Spread (Stable) ±5.5150

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 9.7884 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -9.7884

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 890.9891) against the same month in 2018 (average: 867.7880), the exchange rate shifted by +23.2011 (+2.67%).

2019 Avg (December) 890.9891
2018 Avg (December) 867.7880

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 867.0827 859.9109 861.6229
February 862.1911 855.7142 859.4228
March 862.8875 856.4149 858.5432
April 861.9261 856.4112 858.3566
May 893.1113 853.9783 864.1671
June 874.3190 839.5413 854.3786
July 881.2372 871.1411 875.5474
August 894.1615 873.6131 877.7478
September 886.7488 872.2002 876.0422
October 879.1909 871.1430 873.3918
November 877.3174 871.1430 873.5615
December 1450.0464 867.9699 890.9891