YEARLY HIGH
881.4083 STD
YEARLY LOW
823.1133 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
859.6097 STD

2021 HNL to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the HNL to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 8, valuing the pair at 881.4083. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 823.1133.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 58.2949 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 843.7537 to the December average rate of 873.7108, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 881.4083 was down 2.25% compared to the 2020 peak of 901.6538, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,407,041 STD
2020 Average 4,349,067 STD
Yearly Trough Low 4,115,567 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 291,474.70 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

877.0088
837.4327
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 851.4230, compared to 867.7964 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 16.3734 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 851.4230
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 867.7964

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 29.1146 STD (High: 864.3289 / Low: 835.2143). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.1864 STD (High: 871.2182 / Low: 863.0319).

March Spread (Volatile) ±29.1146
October Spread (Stable) ±8.1864

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 11.3855 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -11.3855

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 873.7108) against the same month in 2020 (average: 852.7627), the exchange rate shifted by +20.9481 (+2.46%).

2021 Avg (December) 873.7108
2020 Avg (December) 852.7627

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 850.2264 823.1133 843.7537
February 844.5457 831.4706 840.7308
March 864.3289 835.2143 848.9599
April 867.5359 857.1954 861.2029
May 868.3887 858.6705 860.7459
June 860.8184 843.8619 853.1452
July 872.5093 855.7523 863.2027
August 877.7679 864.2212 871.7927
September 870.3314 854.4062 860.4072
October 871.2182 863.0319 866.8166
November 879.2211 865.2487 870.8486
December 881.4083 866.5542 873.7108