2011 HNL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

152.4276 UGX

YEARLY LOW

120.8509 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

133.4541 UGX

2011 HNL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the HNL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 152.4276. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 120.8509.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 31.5767 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 123.1099 to the December average rate of 129.3091, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 152.4276 was up 23.64% compared to the 2010 peak of 123.2821, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 762,138 UGX

2010 Average 576,063 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 604,254 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 157,883.65 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

151.7566

120.5057

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 125.9056, compared to 141.0026 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 15.0970 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 125.9056

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 141.0026

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 16.2845 UGX (High: 152.4276 / Low: 136.1431). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9982 UGX (High: 126.8496 / Low: 125.8515).

October Spread (Volatile) ±16.2845

May Spread (Stable) ±0.9982

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 11.7455 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -11.7455

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 147.9400) against the same month in 2010 (average: 119.7777), the exchange rate shifted by +28.1624 (+23.51%).

2011 Avg (October) 147.9400

2010 Avg (October) 119.7777

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	126.4530	120.8509	123.1099
February	126.0044	121.9610	124.0955
March	128.3032	125.2748	126.7965
April	126.1968	123.1563	125.4231
May	126.8496	125.8515	126.3323
June	141.6080	126.2828	129.6763
July	138.6316	134.2598	136.9507
August	150.0062	138.6551	146.4690
September	152.2664	147.0437	149.1523
October	152.4276	136.1431	147.9400
November	138.8929	132.3935	136.1946
December	134.8475	124.5923	129.3091