2025 HNL to UGX Historical Review
A comprehensive breakdown of exchange rate performance throughout the year 2025.
2025 HNL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025
During 2025, the HNL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 145.6877. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 12, dropping to 130.5406.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 15.1472 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 144.7955 to the December average rate of 135.8090, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 145.6877 was down 8.68% compared to the 2024 peak of 159.5294, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:
Trend Visualization
Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.
HNL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 142.0696, compared to 134.9408 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7.1288 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 6.9616 UGX (High: 139.0494 / Low: 132.0878). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3679 UGX (High: 143.6648 / Low: 142.2969).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 2.3230 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2025: 144.7955) against the same month in 2024 (average: 154.0845), the exchange rate shifted by -9.2890 (-6.03%).
Monthly Breakdown
Statistical summary for each calendar month.
| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 145.6877 | 144.0059 | 144.7955 |
| February | 144.8193 | 142.6932 | 143.6518 |
| March | 143.6648 | 142.2969 | 142.9627 |
| April | 145.2618 | 141.4021 | 142.1902 |
| May | 141.3029 | 139.3884 | 140.5702 |
| June | 139.9542 | 137.2173 | 138.2473 |
| July | 137.6048 | 135.9376 | 136.5268 |
| August | 136.2748 | 134.3993 | 135.6130 |
| September | 135.4449 | 133.0767 | 133.9299 |
| October | 133.1601 | 130.5406 | 132.1126 |
| November | 139.0494 | 132.0878 | 135.6536 |
| December | 137.3272 | 134.3153 | 135.8090 |