2018 HNL to UGX Historical Review
A comprehensive breakdown of exchange rate performance throughout the year 2018.
2018 HNL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018
During 2018, the HNL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 163.3680. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 22, dropping to 151.2449.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.1232 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 154.0347 to the December average rate of 153.1104, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 163.3680 was up 2.80% compared to the 2017 peak of 158.9215, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:
Trend Visualization
Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.
HNL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 156.0079, compared to 155.6813 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3266 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 12.0836 UGX (High: 163.3284 / Low: 151.2449). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.5033 UGX (High: 155.0545 / Low: 153.5512).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 3.5112 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 160.1508) against the same month in 2017 (average: 153.2365), the exchange rate shifted by +6.9143 (+4.51%).
Monthly Breakdown
Statistical summary for each calendar month.
| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 155.1221 | 153.4022 | 154.0347 |
| February | 155.0545 | 153.5512 | 154.2094 |
| March | 156.0652 | 153.9834 | 154.7071 |
| April | 157.0352 | 155.2373 | 156.1660 |
| May | 157.9235 | 156.1691 | 156.7795 |
| June | 163.3680 | 157.6963 | 160.1508 |
| July | 162.4498 | 153.1770 | 156.6395 |
| August | 157.0560 | 153.4571 | 155.3698 |
| September | 159.2281 | 156.5908 | 158.0911 |
| October | 158.7800 | 155.9118 | 156.9143 |
| November | 155.2957 | 152.6965 | 153.9628 |
| December | 163.3284 | 151.2449 | 153.1104 |