YEARLY HIGH
137.7529 UGX
YEARLY LOW
122.1698 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
128.8680 UGX

2013 HNL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the HNL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 22, valuing the pair at 137.7529. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 122.1698.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 15.5831 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 134.8182 to the December average rate of 123.0712, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 137.7529 was up 1.18% compared to the 2012 peak of 136.1522, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 688,765 UGX
2012 Average 648,372 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 610,849 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 77,915.67 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

135.9929
121.8964
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 132.6321, compared to 125.1038 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 7.5284 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 132.6321
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 125.1038

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 9.6573 UGX (High: 137.7529 / Low: 128.0956). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9708 UGX (High: 128.4465 / Low: 127.4757).

May Spread (Volatile) ±9.6573
June Spread (Stable) ±0.9708

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 5.6874 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.6874

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 133.6597) against the same month in 2012 (average: 130.0232), the exchange rate shifted by +3.6365 (+2.80%).

2013 Avg (May) 133.6597
2012 Avg (May) 130.0232

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 136.6982 133.6243 134.8182
February 134.7027 132.4024 133.4189
March 133.9980 132.1007 133.3249
April 135.3206 130.0891 132.5989
May 137.7529 128.0956 133.6597
June 128.4465 127.4757 127.9723
July 128.5423 126.7545 127.6170
August 127.2531 125.8957 126.4836
September 127.1242 124.7477 126.0761
October 125.2774 122.9053 124.0310
November 124.0469 122.4870 123.3437
December 124.5471 122.1698 123.0712