2012 HNL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

136.1522 UGX

YEARLY LOW

121.2253 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

129.6464 UGX

2012 HNL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the HNL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 9, valuing the pair at 136.1522. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 121.2253.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.9269 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 126.6628 to the December average rate of 134.7275, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.37% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 136.1522 was down 10.68% compared to the 2011 peak of 152.4276, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 680,761 UGX

2011 Average 667,564 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 606,127 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 74,634.51 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

135.9493

121.2877

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 128.5225, compared to 130.7702 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.2478 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 128.5225

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 130.7702

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 8.8265 UGX (High: 130.6642 / Low: 121.8377). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.9143 UGX (High: 132.0705 / Low: 130.1563).

January Spread (Volatile) ±8.8265

April Spread (Stable) ±1.9143

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 4.1534 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.1534

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 134.7275) against the same month in 2011 (average: 129.3091), the exchange rate shifted by +5.4185 (+4.19%).

2012 Avg (December) 134.7275

2011 Avg (December) 129.3091

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	130.6642	121.8377	126.6628
February	128.4948	121.2253	122.5095
March	134.3730	128.3238	130.1753
April	132.0705	130.1563	131.3060
May	131.6553	128.5898	130.0232
June	131.6658	129.4993	130.4579
July	130.3730	127.9724	129.7869
August	130.2608	127.2080	128.1222
September	129.8620	127.5901	128.3667
October	132.0793	129.9825	131.1393
November	136.0684	130.5872	132.4788
December	136.1522	133.4200	134.7275