2015 HNL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

168.9552 UGX

YEARLY LOW

131.7994 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

149.0714 UGX

2015 HNL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the HNL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 168.9552. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 131.7994.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 37.1557 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 135.3925 to the December average rate of 153.5920, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 168.9552 was up 26.49% compared to the 2014 peak of 133.5686, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 844,776 UGX

2014 Average 636,667 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 658,997 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 185,778.68 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

170.7679

132.1766

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 138.4751, compared to 159.6676 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 21.1925 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 138.4751

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 159.6676

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 12.1387 UGX (High: 161.9299 / Low: 149.7912). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.8736 UGX (High: 168.7740 / Low: 166.9005).

July Spread (Volatile) ±12.1387

September Spread (Stable) ±1.8736

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 9.9499 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -9.9499

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 165.8291) against the same month in 2014 (average: 125.9867), the exchange rate shifted by +39.8424 (+31.62%).

2015 Avg (October) 165.8291

2014 Avg (October) 125.9867

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	137.4323	131.7994	135.3925
February	137.5928	135.0600	135.7949
March	142.7599	133.9438	137.6832
April	140.5153	136.0460	138.9578
May	139.6521	136.1790	137.0591
June	151.6012	139.9366	145.9633
July	161.9299	149.7912	153.4186
August	166.9613	156.1544	161.7347
September	168.7740	166.9005	167.5520
October	168.9552	160.8137	165.8291
November	161.3036	153.0274	155.8792
December	158.5116	150.8763	153.5920