2016 HNL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

156.7236 UGX

YEARLY LOW

146.6363 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

150.1199 UGX

2016 HNL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 29, valuing the pair at 156.7236. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 146.6363.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.0873 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 153.5924 to the December average rate of 154.3745, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.51% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 156.7236 was down 7.24% compared to the 2015 peak of 168.9552, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 783,618 UGX

2015 Average 745,737 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 733,182 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 50,436.32 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

155.2526

146.8326

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 149.7593, compared to 150.4806 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7213 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 149.7593

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 150.4806

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 6.2617 UGX (High: 154.5322 / Low: 148.2704). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3224 UGX (High: 148.7128 / Low: 147.3904).

February Spread (Volatile) ±6.2617

September Spread (Stable) ±1.3224

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 3.1699 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.1699

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 154.5510) against the same month in 2015 (average: 155.8792), the exchange rate shifted by -1.3283 (-0.85%).

2016 Avg (November) 154.5510

2015 Avg (November) 155.8792

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	155.0677	151.3798	153.5924
February	154.5322	148.2704	151.8684
March	149.3044	147.6831	148.6985
April	149.2391	146.6363	148.0712
May	149.6853	146.8047	148.0493
June	150.0167	147.3905	148.2759
July	149.4357	147.3636	148.3668
August	148.4653	147.0321	147.5343
September	148.7128	147.3904	147.9810
October	152.0750	147.7796	150.0759
November	156.7236	151.6145	154.5510
December	156.6555	151.6229	154.3745