2019 HNL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

247.8210 UGX

YEARLY LOW

148.0595 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

151.0016 UGX

2019 HNL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the HNL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 9, valuing the pair at 247.8210. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 148.0595.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 99.7615 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 151.6179 to the December average rate of 151.8571, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 247.8210 was up 51.69% compared to the 2018 peak of 163.3680, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,239,105 UGX

2018 Average 779,222 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 740,297 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 498,807.31 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

155.1614

148.8071

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 151.8178, compared to 150.1853 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.6324 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 151.8178

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 150.1853

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 99.7615 UGX (High: 247.8210 / Low: 148.0595). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9729 UGX (High: 151.5392 / Low: 150.5663).

December Spread (Volatile) ±99.7615

March Spread (Stable) ±0.9729

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 3.4945 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.4945

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 151.8571) against the same month in 2018 (average: 153.1104), the exchange rate shifted by -1.2533 (-0.82%).

2019 Avg (December) 151.8571

2018 Avg (December) 153.1104

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	152.8989	149.7662	151.6179
February	151.0063	149.1464	149.9636
March	151.5392	150.5663	151.1113
April	153.2083	151.1541	152.4448
May	160.4213	152.5355	154.6318
June	153.5510	148.6563	151.1373
July	151.4339	149.1371	150.1250
August	151.0195	149.3902	150.2513
September	151.3498	148.2956	149.3366
October	151.0497	148.9759	149.7914
November	150.4600	149.1127	149.7507
December	247.8210	148.0595	151.8571