YEARLY HIGH
159.5294 UGX
YEARLY LOW
143.3983 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
151.1399 UGX

2024 HNL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the HNL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 28, valuing the pair at 159.5294. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 143.3983.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 16.1312 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 154.0845 to the December average rate of 144.5271, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 159.5294 was up 3.15% compared to the 2023 peak of 154.6540, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 797,647 UGX
2023 Average 754,934 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 716,991 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 80,655.76 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

158.8316
143.2267
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 154.5533, compared to 147.7264 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.8269 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 154.5533
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 147.7264

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was June, with a trading range of 5.8606 UGX (High: 154.1323 / Low: 148.2717). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.5680 UGX (High: 154.6608 / Low: 153.0928).

June Spread (Volatile) ±5.8606
January Spread (Stable) ±1.5680

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 2.9081 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.9081

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 156.6372) against the same month in 2023 (average: 149.5582), the exchange rate shifted by +7.0790 (+4.73%).

2024 Avg (February) 156.6372
2023 Avg (February) 149.5582

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 154.6608 153.0928 154.0845
February 159.5294 154.0490 156.6372
March 158.7743 156.4224 157.5312
April 157.1727 153.5065 154.6231
May 154.3084 151.6970 153.1061
June 154.1323 148.2717 151.3379
July 150.9132 148.6776 149.5597
August 151.1846 149.3919 150.0906
September 150.2086 148.3548 149.4263
October 148.1030 145.4853 146.7309
November 146.9171 145.0684 146.0238
December 146.0214 143.3983 144.5271